NRC Research and Fellowship Programs
Fellowships Office
Policy and Global Affairs

Participating Agencies

  sign in | print

RAP opportunity at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration     NOAA

Decision making under uncertainty for high-impact, short-fused weather events


National Severe Storms Laboratory

opportunity location
26.76.00.C0332 Norman, OK 73072


name email phone
Harold E. Brooks 405.325.6083


The creation and use of weather forecasts involve decision-making at many levels of the process. From how information is extracted from numerical models and forecasters use that information to how it is communicated directly or indirectly to users to how those users make decisions, every step involves uncertainty. This is particularly important in situations, such as those associated with severe thunderstorms and tornadoes, when there is time pressure added to the process and the consequences of unfavorable outcomes can be large. Our research concerns the broad range of issues associated with this entire process, including:

1) Decision-making under uncertainty

2) Communication of uncertainty

3) External factors affecting decision-making

4) Evaluation of forecasts

5) Public policy implications and influences

key words
tornadoes; severe thunderstorms; weather forecasting; decision making; uncertainty; forecast evaluation


Citizenship:  Open to U.S. citizens, permanent residents and non-U.S. citizens
Level:  Open to Postdoctoral and Senior applicants


Base Stipend Travel Allotment Supplementation
$60,000.00 $3,000.00

$24,000 Supplement for Doctorates in Electrical Engineering

Experience Supplement:
Postdoctoral and Senior Associates will receive an appropriately higher stipend based on the number of years of experience past their PhD.

Copyright © 2024. National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.Terms of Use and Privacy Policy