The creation and use of weather forecasts involve decision-making at many levels of the process. From how information is extracted from numerical models and forecasters use that information to how it is communicated directly or indirectly to users to how those users make decisions, every step involves uncertainty. This is particularly important in situations, such as those associated with severe thunderstorms and tornadoes, when there is time pressure added to the process and the consequences of unfavorable outcomes can be large. Our research concerns the broad range of issues associated with this entire process, including:

1) Decision-making under uncertainty

2) Communication of uncertainty

3) External factors affecting decision-making

4) Evaluation of forecasts

5) Public policy implications and influences

key words

tornadoes; severe thunderstorms; weather forecasting; decision making; uncertainty; forecast evaluation

Citizenship:  Open to U.S. citizens, permanent residents and non-U.S. citizens

Level:  Open to Postdoctoral and Senior applicants